Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 15, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Boston Red Sox 4 · 0 Pittsburgh Pirates. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.79 | +1.0% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.84 | +0.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +17.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +15.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +15.0% | 8 | WIN |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +4.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jared Jones | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.75 | +3.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +1.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.