Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Aug 25, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · 2 San Diego Padres. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.19 | +26.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Robbie Ray | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.95 | +24.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +14.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.80 | +11.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +9.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +7.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +5.4% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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