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MLB · Wed, Aug 26, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · 3 San Diego Padres. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +53.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +39.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Randy Vasquez | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.94 | +39.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +32.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +29.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.05 | +22.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bubba Chandler | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.30 | +20.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +18.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +15.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +12.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.62 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.79 | +11.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +9.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake Cronenworth | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +8.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.74 | +5.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +3.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.26 | +0.2% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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