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MLB · Mon, Sep 7, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 4 · 6 Baltimore Orioles. 21 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.84 | +1.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.05 | +36.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +35.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.77 | +32.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +24.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +21.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.12 | +20.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +17.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +17.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Blaze Alexander | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.68 | +13.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.89 | +12.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Carlos Narvaez | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.76 | +11.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +11.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +10.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Blaze Alexander | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +9.2% | 0 | WIN |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +5.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.25 | +4.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Carlos Narvaez | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.21 | +3.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Trevor Rogers | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.74 | +2.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Angel Genao | Cleveland Guardians | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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