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MLB · Fri, Sep 11, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 7 · 4 Toronto Blue Jays. 5 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +1.6% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.05 | +0.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.66 | +25.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Chris Bassitt | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.99 | +20.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers | 14 | 64.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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