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NFL · Sun, Sep 13, 2026
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score: Cleveland Browns 10 · 34 Jacksonville Jaguars. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -8.5 | 1.89 | +9.4% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.90 | +75.8% | 66 | LOSS |
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.25 | +63.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Jakobi Meyers | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.97 | +28.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Parker Washington | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | under | 53.5 | 1.90 | +19.6% | 83 | LOSS |
| Parker Washington | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.66 | +18.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jakobi Meyers | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 36.5 | 1.92 | +14.9% | 40 | WIN |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | under | 56.5 | 1.90 | +9.9% | 33 | WIN |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.90 | +9.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.85 | +9.3% | 17 | WIN |
| Brenton Strange | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.08 | +7.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Brenton Strange | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | over | 34.5 | 1.92 | +6.6% | 23 | LOSS |
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.88 | +6.5% | 22 | LOSS |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.71 | +3.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 35.5 | 1.87 | +2.4% | 21 | LOSS |
| Jerry Jeudy | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.57 | +2.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +0.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing Yards | under | 36.5 | 1.90 | +0.7% | 23 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Jacksonville Jaguars or Cleveland Brownsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns | 43 | 46.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars | 59 | 52.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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