MLB · Sun, May 10, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers
Final score: Chicago Cubs 0 – 3 Texas Rangers. 33 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 3.5 | 12.80 | +319.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.09 | +23.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.91 | +9.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.91 | +3.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.95 | +0.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 9.50 | +366.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 9.00 | +312.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 7.00 | +204.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.50 | +142.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.10 | +142.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.90 | +127.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.50 | +124.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.80 | +117.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +114.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.90 | +114.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Corey Seager | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +85.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +63.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 2.00 | +61.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.50 | +46.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.91 | +33.7% | 10 | LOSS |
| Joc Pederson | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 2.5 | 1.31 | +28.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Alejandro Osuna | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 2.5 | 1.30 | +26.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Alejandro Osuna | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 2.5 | 1.21 | +19.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Josh Jung | Texas Rangers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +19.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.00 | +14.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.06 | +14.6% | 10 | LOSS |
| Joc Pederson | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.14 | +10.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Jameson Taillon | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.78 | +7.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Justin Foscue | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.21 | +5.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +3.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.19 | +1.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Joc Pederson | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Justin Foscue | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.10 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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