MLB · Mon, May 25, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Chicago Cubs 1 – 2 Pittsburgh Pirates. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.93 | +27.8% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.00 | +6.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.70 | +42.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.83 | +17.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.62 | +16.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +6.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +4.9% | 2 | WIN |
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