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MLB · Tue, Jul 7, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Chicago Cubs 5 · 2 Baltimore Orioles. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.00 | +1.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +15.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.90 | +7.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +7.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +5.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +1.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +0.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.71 | +0.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +0.4% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Chicago Cubs that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 18 | 44.4% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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