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MLB · Tue, Jul 21, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Detroit Tigers 8 · 6 Chicago Cubs. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Outman | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.91 | +38.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jameson Taillon | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.25 | +22.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Matt Vierling | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +13.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Kerry Carpenter | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +10.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.63 | +10.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +7.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +7.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Spencer Torkelson | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.76 | +2.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.41 | +1.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +0.1% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Detroit Tigers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 15 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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