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MLB · Fri, Jul 24, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Chicago Cubs 3 · 2 Pittsburgh Pirates. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.89 | +16.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.39 | +72.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.52 | +56.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +56.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +40.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +40.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +36.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +26.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +25.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +24.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +24.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +24.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +21.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.64 | +10.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +10.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +9.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +3.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +2.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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