Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Fri, Sep 4, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Boston Red Sox 1 · 0 Baltimore Orioles. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.05 | +58.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +37.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eli White | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.12 | +31.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trevor Story | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +29.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +28.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +27.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carlos Narvaez | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.92 | +20.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +18.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.93 | +15.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +10.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +4.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.35 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Carlos Narvaez | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.21 | +3.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Blaze Alexander | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +2.9% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.