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MLB · Sun, Sep 13, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4 · 3 Chicago Cubs. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.91 | +19.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.06 | +33.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Bubba Chandler | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.04 | +7.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +7.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jared Triolo | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.14 | +5.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +4.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +3.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Horwitz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +3.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +2.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +2.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Chicago Cubs or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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