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MLB · Thu, Jul 9, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Chicago Cubs 2 · 3 Baltimore Orioles. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +23.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Kevin Alcantara | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.77 | +21.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.74 | +8.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Adley Rutschman | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +5.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +5.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Ward | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +5.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.36 | +5.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +5.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +4.8% | 7 | WIN |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +4.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Coby Mayo | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +2.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Leody Taveras | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +2.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.66 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds | 12 | 58.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 25.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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