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MLB · Sun, Jul 26, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Chicago Cubs 7 · 8 Pittsburgh Pirates. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9 | 2.01 | +17.8% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.05 | +1.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +17.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +14.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.92 | +12.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +9.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +7.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +6.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +4.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.76 | +3.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jameson Taillon | Chicago Cubs | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +0.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +0.4% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Chicago Cubsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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